TAOCP 7.2.2.2 Exercise 320
Let $\mu(G)$ denote the Möbius polynomial of a graph $G$ with all vertex probabilities equal to $p$.
Section 7.2.2.2: Satisfiability
Exercise 320. [HM24] Given a lospdependency graph $G$, the occurrence threshold $\rho(G)$ is the smallest value $p$ such that it's sometimes impossible to avoid all events when each event occurs with probability $p$. For example, the Möbius polynomial for the path $P_5$ is $1 - p_1 - p_2 - p_3 + p_1 p_5$; so the occurrence threshold is $\phi^{-2}$, the least $p$ with $1 - 3p + p^2 \le 0$.
a) Prove that the occurrence threshold for $P_n$ is $1/(4\cos^2 \frac{\pi}{n+2})$.
b) What is the occurrence threshold for the cycle graph $C_m$?
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Solution
Let $\mu(G)$ denote the Möbius polynomial of a graph $G$ with all vertex probabilities equal to $p$. The occurrence threshold is the smallest value of $p$ for which $\mu(G)\leq 0$ can occur.
For the path $P_n$, let
$$ a_n=\mu(P_n). $$
Removing the last vertex of the path gives two cases. If the last vertex is not chosen in an independent set, the contribution is $a_{n-1}$. If it is chosen, the preceding vertex cannot be chosen, and the contribution is $-p a_{n-2}$. Hence
$$ a_n=a_{n-1}-p a_{n-2}. $$
The initial values are
$$ a_0=1,\qquad a_1=1-p. $$
Let $\lambda_+$ and $\lambda_-$ be the roots of
$$ \lambda^2-\lambda+p=0. $$
They satisfy
$$ \lambda_++\lambda_-=1,\qquad \lambda_+\lambda_-=p. $$
The recurrence and initial conditions give
$$ a_n=\frac{\lambda_+^{,n+2}-\lambda_-^{,n+2}} {\lambda_+-\lambda_-}. $$
For $p>1/4$, write
$$ \lambda_\pm=\sqrt p,e^{\pm i\theta}, $$
where
$$ \cos\theta=\frac1{2\sqrt p}. $$
Then
$$ a_n
p^{(n+1)/2} \frac{\sin((n+2)\theta)}{\sin\theta}. $$
The first loss of positivity occurs when the numerator first vanishes. Since $0<\theta<\pi/2$, the smallest possible value is
$$ (n+2)\theta=\pi . $$
Therefore
$$ \theta=\frac{\pi}{n+2}. $$
Using
$$ \cos\theta=\frac1{2\sqrt p}, $$
we obtain
$$ \cos\frac{\pi}{n+2}
\frac1{2\sqrt p}. $$
Squaring and solving for $p$ gives
$$ p=\frac1{4\cos^2\frac{\pi}{n+2}}. $$
For smaller values of $p$, the angle $\theta$ is smaller, so
$$ 0<(n+2)\theta<\pi, $$
and therefore
$$ a_n>0. $$
For the value above, $a_n=0$, and for larger values the sign changes. Hence the occurrence threshold of $P_n$ is
$$ \boxed{\rho(P_n)=\frac1{4\cos^2\frac{\pi}{n+2}}}. $$
For the cycle graph $C_m$, let
$$ b_m=\mu(C_m). $$
The independent sets of $C_m$ either exclude a fixed vertex, giving the contribution from $P_{m-1}$, or include that vertex, in which case its two neighbors are excluded and the remaining contribution is from $P_{m-3}$. Thus
$$ b_m=a_{m-1}-p a_{m-3}. $$
Substituting the expression in terms of $\lambda_+$ and $\lambda_-$ gives
$$ b_m=\lambda_+^m+\lambda_-^m . $$
For $p>1/4$, use the same representation
$$ \lambda_\pm=\sqrt p,e^{\pm i\theta}. $$
Then
$$ b_m
p^{m/2} \left(e^{im\theta}+e^{-im\theta}\right), $$
so
$$ b_m=2p^{m/2}\cos(m\theta). $$
The first zero occurs when
$$ m\theta=\frac{\pi}{2}. $$
Hence
$$ \theta=\frac{\pi}{2m}. $$
Using again
$$ \cos\theta=\frac1{2\sqrt p}, $$
we get
$$ \cos\frac{\pi}{2m}
\frac1{2\sqrt p}. $$
Therefore
$$ p=\frac1{4\cos^2\frac{\pi}{2m}}. $$
For smaller $p$, the corresponding angle satisfies
$$ 0<m\theta<\frac{\pi}{2}, $$
so
$$ \cos(m\theta)>0 $$
and the Möbius polynomial remains positive. At the displayed value it becomes zero, and for larger $p$ it becomes nonpositive. Consequently the occurrence threshold for the cycle is
$$ \boxed{\rho(C_m)=\frac1{4\cos^2\frac{\pi}{2m}}}. $$
This completes the proof.
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